By Hans Johnson, research fellow, Public
Policy Institute of California This opinion article appeared in the North
County Times on March 18, 2007
At the Public Policy Institute of California, we recently published an
economic analysis by Giovanni Peri of UC Davis looking at how immigrants affect
the jobs and wages of U.S.-born workers in California. The study uses the most
reliable and representative data available – the decennial Censuses and the
American Community Survey. It also goes beyond most previous research by using
methods that more accurately measure how immigrants and U.S.-born workers
interact in the labor market.
Under this microscope, the claim that immigrants take jobs and lower wages of
U.S.-born workers, on average, simply doesn't hold in California.
Response to the report has been heated. It demonstrates once again that the
passion fueling the nation's immigration debate leads people to discount, ignore
– or even flatly deny – empirical evidence. That's unfortunate because it makes
an already divisive and complex issue even more volatile, erratic and difficult
to address.
Much of the debate and previous research has assumed that immigrants and
U.S.-born workers, of the same age and education, compete for the same jobs. Two
findings in our study provide strong evidence against this assumption.
First, from 1960 to 2004, the data shows no link between the large number of
immigrants moving into California and U.S.-born workers either moving out of the
state or dropping out of the work force. In other words, on average, U.S.-born
workers were not displaced because of immigrants moving into the state.
Second, between 1990 and 2004, the real wages of U.S.-born workers received a
positive boost – an estimated 3 to 5 percent – from the presence of immigrants
in the work force. The amount that wages increased varied, depending on age and
education, but almost without exception, the results were positive for U.S.-born
workers.
The study reveals that immigrants do not compete directly with the majority
of U.S.-born workers for the same jobs. Rather, they complement U.S. workers in
terms of skills, education and occupations.
For example, in the agricultural field, most immigrants have taken jobs as
agricultural laborers, while most U.S. workers have filled jobs such as farm
supervisors. As the ranks of one type of worker increase, so does the demand for
this other, complementary type.
In a sense, what California workers have done is "upgrade" themselves, taking
advantage of opportunities created by newly arrived workers to the labor force.
The data includes legal and illegal immigrants. The U.S. censuses do not
collect information on legal status. No large-scale, reliable survey does. This
is why no one is able to draw exact conclusions about the different effects of
legal and illegal immigrants.
A complex set of priorities and issues drives the national debate on
immigration. Our report does not draw, or attempt to draw, any conclusions about
broader issues, such as homeland security. What it does do is add to mounting
empirical evidence contradicting the theory that immigrants weaken employment
opportunities for U.S.-born workers.
Resolving questions, debunking inaccuracies and dealing in facts should be
the way to developing sound and pragmatic immigration policy. |