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Event Briefing PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and the Environment 0718

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Would not vote for governor (vol.) 5% Don't know 9% % likely voters John Cox 31% Gavin Newsom 55% 6 Importance of gubernatorial candidates’ positions on the environment In thinking about the California governor’s election in November, how important to you are the candidates’ positions on the environment in determining your vote? % likely voters 100 80 60 40 20 0 44 Jul-06 % saying very important 41 40 Jul-10 Jul-14 56 Jul-18 7 US Senate election preferences If the November 6 election for the US Senate were being held today, would you vote for…? Don't know 9% Would not vote for US Senator (vol.) 20% % likely voters Kevin de León 24% Dianne Feinstein 46% 8 Should candidates work with the Trump administration or push back on environmental issues? Which of the following is more important to you in candidates for statewide office, such as governor or US senator, when it comes to environmental issues— that they work with the Trump administration or that they push back against the Trump administration? % likely voters 100 81 80 60 55 39 40 20 12 0 All likely voters Dem 84 13 Rep 51 40 68 30 Work with Trump administration Push back against Trump administration 61 49 45 30 Ind Latinos Whites Other racial/ ethnic groups 9 Support for water bond The November 6 ballot has a state bond measure of approximately $8.9 billion to pay for various water infrastructure projects. If the election were being held today, would you vote yes or no? % likely voters 100 80 60 58 40 20 0 All likely voters % saying yes 72 43 Dem Rep 48 Ind 10 Most important environmental issue 60 % likely voters 40 24 20 15 0 Water supply and drought Air pollution 12 8 Global warming Water pollution 11 Seriousness of water supply problem Would you say that the supply of water is 100 a big problem, somewhat of a problem, or not 80 much of a problem in your part of California? 60 % 40 24 48 22 49 20 0 All adults Central Valley Somewhat of a problem Big problem 25 20 23 30 55 48 44 43 Inland Empire Los Angeles Orange/San Diego San Francisco Bay Area 12 Seriousness of air pollution problem Would you say that air pollution is a big 100 problem, somewhat of a problem, or not 80 much of a problem in your part of California? 60 % 40 20 37 29 36 34 0 All adults Central Valley Somewhat of a problem Big problem 37 44 39 37 40 28 24 17 Inland Empire Los Angeles Orange/San Diego San Francisco Bay Area 13 Air pollution in lower-income areas Do you think that air pollution is a more 100 % saying yes serious health threat in lower-income areas 80 76 71 than other areas in your 64 part of California, or 60 56 58 not? % 48 42 40 20 0 Under $40,000 $80,000 African Asian Latinos $40,000 to under or more Americans Americans $80,000 Whites 14 California’s ocean and beaches % Importance of the condition of the ocean and beaches for California’s future 100 Somewhat 80 21 18 24 23 important Very 60 important 40 74 81 71 74 20 0 All adults Dem Rep Ind Rating of the overall health and quality of the ocean along the California coast 19% 4% 9% 30% Excellent Good Fair Poor Don't know 38% % adults 15 Concerns about coastal issues % adults 100 80 60 50 45 40 20 0 All adults Ocean warming having an impact on marine and coastal life Sea level rise having an impact on flooding and erosion % saying very concerned 65 56 27 22 57 44 Dem Rep Ind 16 Support for more oil drilling off the coast How about allowing more oil drilling off the California coast? 100 80 % adults 60 40 20 0 Favor Oppose 67 27 17 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  2018 election and environmental issues  Public perceptions and policy preferences  Conclusions 18 Approval of state and federal elected officials % adults 100 80 60 52 48 40 20 46 43 29 24 0 Governor Brown California Legislature President Trump Overall approval Environmental issues 20 23 US Congress 19 Approval trends for state elected officials on environmental issues % adults 100 Governor Brown California Legislature 80 60 40 35 31 20 48 43 0 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15 Jul-16 Jul-17 Jul-18 20 State leadership on climate change 100 80 60 % 40 20 Favor California making its own policies 65 54 62 51 Say it is very important California act as a world leader 82 67 29 23 61 48 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 21 Effects of global warming Which of the following statements reflects your view of when the effects of global warming will begin to happen? 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 % saying already begun 67 60 Californians Adults nationwide* *Gallup polls 2005–2018 22 Threat of global warming How serious of a threat is global warming to the economy and quality of life for California’s future? 100 80 60 % 40 56 % saying very serious 57 60 57 64 20 0 All adults Likely voters African Asian Americans Americans Latinos 50 Whites 23 Concern about more severe wildfires Thinking about the possible impact of global warming in California, 100 Somewhat concerned Very concerned how concerned are you about more severe wildfires because of extreme weather? 80 23 21 28 25 24 22 60 % 40 62 61 54 63 59 67 20 0 All adults Central Valley Inland Empire Los Orange/San San Angeles Diego Francisco Bay Area 24 Personal importance of the issue of global warming How important is the issue of global warming to you personally? 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 20 34 28 Californians Somewhat important Very important Extremely important 28 28 20 Adults nationwide (ABC News/Stanford/Resources for the Future poll) 25 Support for SB 32’s emission-reduction goal To address global warming, do you favor or oppose the state law that requires California to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions to 40 percent below 1990 levels by the year 2030? 100 80 60 % 40 20 67 % saying favor 73 66 69 0 All adults African Americans Asian Americans Latinos 64 Whites 26 Support for 100 percent renewable goal Do you favor or oppose a proposed state law that would require 100 percent of the state’s electricity to come from renewable energy by the year 2045? 100 80 60 % 40 72 % saying favor 81 67 47 20 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep 73 Ind 27 Support for higher emissions standards How about setting higher emissions standards for automobiles? 100 80 60 % 40 20 61 % saying favor 74 60 34 62 % adults 100 80 61 60 Favor Oppose 66 40 32 20 33 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 0 Californians Adults nationwide (Gallup poll) 28 Impact of state climate polices on jobs and gas prices Impact on jobs Don't know 11% Wouldn't affect the number of jobs 23% More jobs 48% Fewer jobs 18% Impact on gas prices Wouldn't affect gas prices 17% Don't know 11% Decrease gas prices 16% Increase gas prices 56% 29 Cap and trade In the system called “cap and trade,” the California state government issues permits limiting the amount of greenhouse gases companies can put out… Do you favor or oppose the cap-andtrade system? 100 80 60 % 40 20 50 % saying favor 64 50 28 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep 52 Ind 30 Cap and trade: spending in lower-income areas How important to you is it that some of the cap- 100 % saying very important and-trade revenues are spent on projects to 80 improve environmental 66 65 conditions in lowerincome and disadvantaged 60 % 57 53 45 52 39 communities? 40 20 0 Under $40,000 $80,000 African Asian Latinos $40,000 to under or more Americans Americans $80,000 Whites 31 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  2018 election and environmental issues  Public perceptions and policy preferences  Conclusions 32 Conclusions  Newsom leads Cox in November’s gubernatorial election; Feinstein leads de León in the US Senate race. Most likely voters say candidates’ positions on the environment are important.  Californians are most likely to name water supply and drought as the top environmental issue; a majority of likely voters favor the $8.9 billion water bond on the November ballot.  Approval ratings for the president and Congress on environmental issues remain far lower than those for the governor and state legislature.  There are wide partisan differences in views on climate change and what the state should do about it.  Many Californians say global warming is important to them personally and majorities across regions fear more severe wildfires due to extreme weather. 33 PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and the Environment July 27, 2018 Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, Alyssa Dykman, Lunna Lopes Supported with funding from the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, the Dirk and Charlene Kabcenell Foundation, the Flora Family Foundation, and the Heising-Simons Foundation #PPICsurvey Notes on the use of these slides These slides were created to accompany a presentation. They do not include full documentation of sources, data samples, methods, and interpretations. To avoid misinterpretations, please contact: Alyssa Dykman (dykman@ppic.org; 415-291-4475) Thank you for your interest in this work. 35" } ["___content":protected]=> string(196) "

Event Briefing PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and the Environment 0718

" ["_permalink":protected]=> string(118) "https://www.ppic.org/event/statewide-survey-californians-and-the-environment-2018/eventbriefing_environmentsurvey0718/" ["_next":protected]=> array(0) { } ["_prev":protected]=> array(0) { } ["_css_class":protected]=> NULL ["id"]=> int(15727) ["ID"]=> int(15727) ["post_author"]=> string(1) "4" ["post_content"]=> string(0) "" ["post_date"]=> string(19) "2018-07-27 10:48:32" ["post_excerpt"]=> string(0) "" ["post_parent"]=> int(15659) ["post_status"]=> string(7) "inherit" ["post_title"]=> string(75) "Event Briefing PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and the Environment 0718" ["post_type"]=> string(10) "attachment" ["slug"]=> string(35) "eventbriefing_environmentsurvey0718" ["__type":protected]=> NULL ["_wp_attached_file"]=> string(39) "eventbriefing_environmentsurvey0718.pdf" ["wpmf_size"]=> string(6) "420308" ["wpmf_filetype"]=> string(3) "pdf" ["wpmf_order"]=> string(1) "0" ["searchwp_content"]=> string(10549) "PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and the Environment July 27, 2018 Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, Alyssa Dykman, Lunna Lopes Supported with funding from the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, the Dirk and Charlene Kabcenell Foundation, the Flora Family Foundation, and the Heising-Simons Foundation #PPICsurvey Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  2018 election and environmental issues  Public perceptions and policy preferences  Conclusions 2 PPIC Statewide Survey mission  Provide timely, relevant, nonpartisan data on political, social, and economic opinions  Inform and improve state policymaking, raise awareness, encourage discussion  Provide a voice for all Californians in important state policy debates – 350,000+ Californians interviewed since 1998 – 170+ general, issue, and regional surveys 3 Californians and the Environment  Conducted with funding from the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, the Dirk and Charlene Kabcenell Foundation, the Flora Family Foundation, and the Heising-Simons Foundation  Telephone interviews, July 8–17, 2018 – 70% cell phone, 30% landline – 1,711 adults, ± 3.4% margin of error – 1,020 likely voters, ± 4.3% margin of error  Preferences in gubernatorial and US Senate races, water, air pollution, and coastal issues  Approval ratings, climate change and energy policy 4 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  2018 election and environmental issues  Public perceptions and policy preferences  Conclusions 5 Gubernatorial election preferences If the November 6 election for governor were being held today, would you vote for…? Would not vote for governor (vol.) 5% Don't know 9% % likely voters John Cox 31% Gavin Newsom 55% 6 Importance of gubernatorial candidates’ positions on the environment In thinking about the California governor’s election in November, how important to you are the candidates’ positions on the environment in determining your vote? % likely voters 100 80 60 40 20 0 44 Jul-06 % saying very important 41 40 Jul-10 Jul-14 56 Jul-18 7 US Senate election preferences If the November 6 election for the US Senate were being held today, would you vote for…? Don't know 9% Would not vote for US Senator (vol.) 20% % likely voters Kevin de León 24% Dianne Feinstein 46% 8 Should candidates work with the Trump administration or push back on environmental issues? Which of the following is more important to you in candidates for statewide office, such as governor or US senator, when it comes to environmental issues— that they work with the Trump administration or that they push back against the Trump administration? % likely voters 100 81 80 60 55 39 40 20 12 0 All likely voters Dem 84 13 Rep 51 40 68 30 Work with Trump administration Push back against Trump administration 61 49 45 30 Ind Latinos Whites Other racial/ ethnic groups 9 Support for water bond The November 6 ballot has a state bond measure of approximately $8.9 billion to pay for various water infrastructure projects. If the election were being held today, would you vote yes or no? % likely voters 100 80 60 58 40 20 0 All likely voters % saying yes 72 43 Dem Rep 48 Ind 10 Most important environmental issue 60 % likely voters 40 24 20 15 0 Water supply and drought Air pollution 12 8 Global warming Water pollution 11 Seriousness of water supply problem Would you say that the supply of water is 100 a big problem, somewhat of a problem, or not 80 much of a problem in your part of California? 60 % 40 24 48 22 49 20 0 All adults Central Valley Somewhat of a problem Big problem 25 20 23 30 55 48 44 43 Inland Empire Los Angeles Orange/San Diego San Francisco Bay Area 12 Seriousness of air pollution problem Would you say that air pollution is a big 100 problem, somewhat of a problem, or not 80 much of a problem in your part of California? 60 % 40 20 37 29 36 34 0 All adults Central Valley Somewhat of a problem Big problem 37 44 39 37 40 28 24 17 Inland Empire Los Angeles Orange/San Diego San Francisco Bay Area 13 Air pollution in lower-income areas Do you think that air pollution is a more 100 % saying yes serious health threat in lower-income areas 80 76 71 than other areas in your 64 part of California, or 60 56 58 not? % 48 42 40 20 0 Under $40,000 $80,000 African Asian Latinos $40,000 to under or more Americans Americans $80,000 Whites 14 California’s ocean and beaches % Importance of the condition of the ocean and beaches for California’s future 100 Somewhat 80 21 18 24 23 important Very 60 important 40 74 81 71 74 20 0 All adults Dem Rep Ind Rating of the overall health and quality of the ocean along the California coast 19% 4% 9% 30% Excellent Good Fair Poor Don't know 38% % adults 15 Concerns about coastal issues % adults 100 80 60 50 45 40 20 0 All adults Ocean warming having an impact on marine and coastal life Sea level rise having an impact on flooding and erosion % saying very concerned 65 56 27 22 57 44 Dem Rep Ind 16 Support for more oil drilling off the coast How about allowing more oil drilling off the California coast? 100 80 % adults 60 40 20 0 Favor Oppose 67 27 17 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  2018 election and environmental issues  Public perceptions and policy preferences  Conclusions 18 Approval of state and federal elected officials % adults 100 80 60 52 48 40 20 46 43 29 24 0 Governor Brown California Legislature President Trump Overall approval Environmental issues 20 23 US Congress 19 Approval trends for state elected officials on environmental issues % adults 100 Governor Brown California Legislature 80 60 40 35 31 20 48 43 0 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15 Jul-16 Jul-17 Jul-18 20 State leadership on climate change 100 80 60 % 40 20 Favor California making its own policies 65 54 62 51 Say it is very important California act as a world leader 82 67 29 23 61 48 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 21 Effects of global warming Which of the following statements reflects your view of when the effects of global warming will begin to happen? 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 % saying already begun 67 60 Californians Adults nationwide* *Gallup polls 2005–2018 22 Threat of global warming How serious of a threat is global warming to the economy and quality of life for California’s future? 100 80 60 % 40 56 % saying very serious 57 60 57 64 20 0 All adults Likely voters African Asian Americans Americans Latinos 50 Whites 23 Concern about more severe wildfires Thinking about the possible impact of global warming in California, 100 Somewhat concerned Very concerned how concerned are you about more severe wildfires because of extreme weather? 80 23 21 28 25 24 22 60 % 40 62 61 54 63 59 67 20 0 All adults Central Valley Inland Empire Los Orange/San San Angeles Diego Francisco Bay Area 24 Personal importance of the issue of global warming How important is the issue of global warming to you personally? 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 20 34 28 Californians Somewhat important Very important Extremely important 28 28 20 Adults nationwide (ABC News/Stanford/Resources for the Future poll) 25 Support for SB 32’s emission-reduction goal To address global warming, do you favor or oppose the state law that requires California to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions to 40 percent below 1990 levels by the year 2030? 100 80 60 % 40 20 67 % saying favor 73 66 69 0 All adults African Americans Asian Americans Latinos 64 Whites 26 Support for 100 percent renewable goal Do you favor or oppose a proposed state law that would require 100 percent of the state’s electricity to come from renewable energy by the year 2045? 100 80 60 % 40 72 % saying favor 81 67 47 20 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep 73 Ind 27 Support for higher emissions standards How about setting higher emissions standards for automobiles? 100 80 60 % 40 20 61 % saying favor 74 60 34 62 % adults 100 80 61 60 Favor Oppose 66 40 32 20 33 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 0 Californians Adults nationwide (Gallup poll) 28 Impact of state climate polices on jobs and gas prices Impact on jobs Don't know 11% Wouldn't affect the number of jobs 23% More jobs 48% Fewer jobs 18% Impact on gas prices Wouldn't affect gas prices 17% Don't know 11% Decrease gas prices 16% Increase gas prices 56% 29 Cap and trade In the system called “cap and trade,” the California state government issues permits limiting the amount of greenhouse gases companies can put out… Do you favor or oppose the cap-andtrade system? 100 80 60 % 40 20 50 % saying favor 64 50 28 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep 52 Ind 30 Cap and trade: spending in lower-income areas How important to you is it that some of the cap- 100 % saying very important and-trade revenues are spent on projects to 80 improve environmental 66 65 conditions in lowerincome and disadvantaged 60 % 57 53 45 52 39 communities? 40 20 0 Under $40,000 $80,000 African Asian Latinos $40,000 to under or more Americans Americans $80,000 Whites 31 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  2018 election and environmental issues  Public perceptions and policy preferences  Conclusions 32 Conclusions  Newsom leads Cox in November’s gubernatorial election; Feinstein leads de León in the US Senate race. 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