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Event Briefing – Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government, December 2018

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object(Timber\Post)#3711 (44) { ["ImageClass"]=> string(12) "Timber\Image" ["PostClass"]=> string(11) "Timber\Post" ["TermClass"]=> string(11) "Timber\Term" ["object_type"]=> string(4) "post" ["custom"]=> array(5) { ["_wp_attached_file"]=> string(37) "eventbriefing_statewidesurvey1218.pdf" ["wpmf_size"]=> string(6) "538055" ["wpmf_filetype"]=> string(3) "pdf" ["wpmf_order"]=> string(1) "0" ["searchwp_content"]=> string(10219) "Californians and Their Government December 14, 2018 Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, Alyssa Dykman, Lunna Lopes Supported with funding from the James Irvine Foundation and the PPIC Donor Circle Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  State post-election landscape  Federal post-election landscape  Conclusions 2 PPIC Statewide Survey mission  Provide timely, relevant, nonpartisan data on political, social, and economic opinions  Inform and improve state policymaking, raise awareness, encourage discussion  Provide a voice for all Californians in important state policy debates – 350,000+ Californians interviewed since 1998 – 170+ general, issue, and regional surveys 3 Californians and Their Government  General series funded by the James Irvine Foundation and the PPIC Donor Circle  Telephone interviews, November 11‒20, 2018 – 70% cell phone, 30% landline – 1,704 adults, ± 3.3% margin of error – 1,094 likely voters, ± 4.1% margin of error  Opinions on state elected officials, fiscal choices, and policy priorities  Opinions on federal elected officials, immigration policy, and the role of government 4 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  State post-election landscape  Federal post-election landscape  Conclusions 5 Outlook for the state 100 80 60 % 40 54 46 20 0 All adults 50 46 Likely voters 72 53 Dem Think things are headed in the right direction Expect good times financially 30 16 Rep 53 47 Ind 6 Approval of state elected officials % adults Governor Brown Governor Brown 100 California Legislature California Legislature 100 80 80 60 40 68 66 51 47 % 60 51 47 52 43 40 48 42 20 20 18 13 00 All adults Likely Dem Rep Ind voters 7 Approval of Governor-Elect Newsom From what you know so far, overall do you approve or disapprove 80 of Governor-Elect Gavin Newsom’s plans and policies for 60 California? % 40 20 0 Approve Disapprove Have not heard enough (vol) Don't know 68 61 42 25 22 12 41 32 19 8 18 10 11 13 14 6 41 28 21 10 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 8 Should Newsom continue Jerry Brown’s policies? Would you rather see Gavin Newsom as the next California governor generally 80 continue Jerry Brown’s policies or mostly 60 change to different policies? % 40 48 35 20 50 39 Continue Brown's policies Change to different policies 72 47 37 18 51 34 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 9 Income inequality in California Do you think that California is divided into haves and have nots, or do you think that California is not divided that way? 100 80 % 60 67 % thinking it is divided 82 68 55 40 20 0 All adults African Asian Americans Americans Latinos 67 Whites 10 Haves or have-nots? If you had to choose, which of these groups are you in—the haves 80 or have nots? 60 % 40 45 40 20 56 35 43 31 Haves Have nots 61 27 52 36 0 All adults African Asian Americans Americans Latinos Whites 11 Government and income inequality Do you think that in California today all people have an equal opportunity to get ahead, or that the government should do more to make sure that all Californians have an equal opportunity to get ahead? 80 60 % 40 20 0 53 41 50 42 All adults Likely voters People have equal opportunity Government should do more 65 69 44 47 30 20 Dem Rep Ind 12 California’s future Overall, do you think that in 2025 California will be a better place to live than it is now or a worse place to live than it is now, or will there be no change? 80 60 % 40 20 40 32 23 35 39 21 45 25 25 61 20 15 Better place Worse place No change 43 30 21 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 13 Financial outlook for California’s children When children today in California grow up, do you think they will be better off or worse off financially than their parents? 80 60 % 40 50 40 20 62 32 51 39 54 38 0 All adults African Americans Asian Americans Latinos Better off Worse off 62 28 Whites 14 Preferences for using the budget surplus The state is projected to have a budget surplus of several billion 80 dollars. In general, how would you 60 prefer to use this extra money? % 40 57 21 20 16 47 28 18 Pay down debt and build up reserve Increase state funding for education, health and human services One-time state spending for 67 transportation, water, and infrastructure 49 44 14 15 22 23 28 20 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 15 Changes to the state and local tax system Overall, do you think the state and 100 local tax system is in need of major 80 changes, minor changes, or do you think it is fine 60 the way it is? % 40 20 27 49 29 54 0 All adults Likely voters 36 41 Dem Minor changes Major changes 16 32 73 52 Rep Ind 16 Policy priorities Next, there are several policy choices that the governor and legislature could make in the next few years. Each of them would require a significant amount of new state funding. Please tell me if each of the following should be a: % all adults 80 60 40 38 20 22 0 Universal health coverage 36 17 Tuition-free community college High priority Very high priority 34 14 Universal preschool 17 8 Building a highspeed rail system 17 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  State post-election landscape  Federal post-election landscape  Conclusions 18 Satisfaction with direction of the nation In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way that things are going in the United States at this time? 100 80 % 60 64 71 40 32 20 27 0 All adults Likely voters 80 18 Dem Satisfied Dissatisfied 51 45 71 26 Rep Ind 19 Confidence in President Trump How much confidence do you have in President Trump to make the right decisions for the country’s future—a great deal of confidence, a good amount, just some, or none at all? 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 None at all Just some Good amount A great deal 48 50 24 13 14 All adults 17 14 19 Likely voters 72 17 73 Dem 14 12 27 47 Rep 46 29 12 10 Ind 20 Approval of President Trump and Congress % adults President Trump President Trump 100 US Congress 100 US Congress 80 80 76 60 % 60 40 32 40 32 29 36 34 28 20 29 20 20 18 12 21 0 0 All adults Likely Dem Rep Ind voters 21 Switch of control in Congress As you may know, as a result of the recent election, control of the US House of 100 Representatives will switch from the 80 Republicans to the Democrats. Do you 60 think that this switch % is a good thing, a bad 40 thing, or doesn’t it make any difference? 20 0 80 53 55 27 17 22 21 All adults Likely voters 15 3 Dem Good thing Bad thing Does not make a difference 56 54 29 15 31 12 Rep Ind 22 Should representatives work with Trump administration? Which of the following is more important to you for your own representative to the 100 US House of Representatives in 80 Congress—that they work with the Trump 60 administration or that % they push back 40 against the Trump administration? 20 0 Work with the Trump administration Push back against the Trump administration 89 49 44 53 41 62 31 All adults Likely voters Dem 9 Rep 54 40 Ind 23 Perception of immigrants % adults 100 Immigrants are a benefit Immigrants are a burden Immigrants are a benefit Immigrants are a burden 80 100 72 83 80 72 73 60 65 60 55 40 % 40 38 29 20 23 20 23 20 11 0 0 All adults Likely Dem Rep Ind voters 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 24 Policy preference on undocumented immigrants Which comes closer to your view about how to handle undocumented immigrants who are living in the US: There should be a way for them to stay in the country legally, if certain requirements are met or they should not be allowed to stay in this country legally? % % 100 84 80 60 40 20 14 0 All adults 94 5 Dem 60 37 85 14 Rep Ind Allowed to stay legally Not allowed to stay legally 100 87 80 86 94 60 40 20 13 13 5 0 African Asian Latinos Americans Americans 77 21 Whites 25 Government regulation of business Please indicate which statement comes closest to your own view, even if neither is 80 exactly right— government regulation of business is necessary to protect % 60 the public interest, or 40 government regulation of business does more harm than good? 20 0 58 35 58 39 Necessary to protect the public interest Does more harm than good 73 66 58 30 20 38 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 26 Environmental laws and regulations Please indicate which statement comes closest to your own view, even if neither is 100 exactly right—stricter environmental laws 80 and regulations cost too many jobs and 60 hurt the economy, or % stricter environmental 40 laws and regulations are worth the cost? 20 0 Worth the cost Cost too many jobs and hurt the economy 59 33 61 33 77 17 67 26 62 32 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 27 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  State post-election landscape  Federal post-election landscape  Conclusions 28 Conclusions  Based on what they have heard so far, four in ten Californians approve of Governor-Elect Newsom’s plans and policies  As Newsom makes plans for his administration, nearly half of Californians say they want him to take a different policy direction from Governor Brown  Majorities of Californians place a high priority on new state spending on universal health coverage and tuition-free community college; fewer prioritize high-speed rail  Californians say that improving jobs and the economy is the most important priority for the future; many believe that children will be worse off than their parents  Most Californians say the election outcome of Democratic control of the House is a good thing, and about half have no confidence at all in President Trump  Overwhelming majorities view immigrants as a benefit and think there should be a way for undocumented immigrants to stay in the country legally 29 Californians and Their Government December 14, 2018 Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, Alyssa Dykman, Lunna Lopes Supported with funding from the James Irvine Foundation and the PPIC Donor Circle Notes on the use of these slides These slides were created to accompany a presentation. They do not include full documentation of sources, data samples, methods, and interpretations. To avoid misinterpretations, please contact: Dean Bonner(bonner@ppic.org; 415-291-4497) Thank you for your interest in this work. 31" } ["___content":protected]=> string(202) "

Event Briefing - Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government, December 2018

" ["_permalink":protected]=> string(128) "https://www.ppic.org/event/statewide-survey-californians-and-their-government-december-2018-2/eventbriefing_statewidesurvey1218/" ["_next":protected]=> array(0) { } ["_prev":protected]=> array(0) { } ["_css_class":protected]=> NULL ["id"]=> int(17694) ["ID"]=> int(17694) ["post_author"]=> string(1) "4" ["post_content"]=> string(0) "" ["post_date"]=> string(19) "2018-12-14 10:31:09" ["post_excerpt"]=> string(0) "" ["post_parent"]=> int(17563) ["post_status"]=> string(7) "inherit" ["post_title"]=> string(83) "Event Briefing - Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government, December 2018" ["post_type"]=> string(10) "attachment" ["slug"]=> string(33) "eventbriefing_statewidesurvey1218" ["__type":protected]=> NULL ["_wp_attached_file"]=> string(37) "eventbriefing_statewidesurvey1218.pdf" ["wpmf_size"]=> string(6) "538055" ["wpmf_filetype"]=> string(3) "pdf" ["wpmf_order"]=> string(1) "0" ["searchwp_content"]=> string(10219) "Californians and Their Government December 14, 2018 Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, Alyssa Dykman, Lunna Lopes Supported with funding from the James Irvine Foundation and the PPIC Donor Circle Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  State post-election landscape  Federal post-election landscape  Conclusions 2 PPIC Statewide Survey mission  Provide timely, relevant, nonpartisan data on political, social, and economic opinions  Inform and improve state policymaking, raise awareness, encourage discussion  Provide a voice for all Californians in important state policy debates – 350,000+ Californians interviewed since 1998 – 170+ general, issue, and regional surveys 3 Californians and Their Government  General series funded by the James Irvine Foundation and the PPIC Donor Circle  Telephone interviews, November 11‒20, 2018 – 70% cell phone, 30% landline – 1,704 adults, ± 3.3% margin of error – 1,094 likely voters, ± 4.1% margin of error  Opinions on state elected officials, fiscal choices, and policy priorities  Opinions on federal elected officials, immigration policy, and the role of government 4 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  State post-election landscape  Federal post-election landscape  Conclusions 5 Outlook for the state 100 80 60 % 40 54 46 20 0 All adults 50 46 Likely voters 72 53 Dem Think things are headed in the right direction Expect good times financially 30 16 Rep 53 47 Ind 6 Approval of state elected officials % adults Governor Brown Governor Brown 100 California Legislature California Legislature 100 80 80 60 40 68 66 51 47 % 60 51 47 52 43 40 48 42 20 20 18 13 00 All adults Likely Dem Rep Ind voters 7 Approval of Governor-Elect Newsom From what you know so far, overall do you approve or disapprove 80 of Governor-Elect Gavin Newsom’s plans and policies for 60 California? % 40 20 0 Approve Disapprove Have not heard enough (vol) Don't know 68 61 42 25 22 12 41 32 19 8 18 10 11 13 14 6 41 28 21 10 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 8 Should Newsom continue Jerry Brown’s policies? Would you rather see Gavin Newsom as the next California governor generally 80 continue Jerry Brown’s policies or mostly 60 change to different policies? % 40 48 35 20 50 39 Continue Brown's policies Change to different policies 72 47 37 18 51 34 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 9 Income inequality in California Do you think that California is divided into haves and have nots, or do you think that California is not divided that way? 100 80 % 60 67 % thinking it is divided 82 68 55 40 20 0 All adults African Asian Americans Americans Latinos 67 Whites 10 Haves or have-nots? If you had to choose, which of these groups are you in—the haves 80 or have nots? 60 % 40 45 40 20 56 35 43 31 Haves Have nots 61 27 52 36 0 All adults African Asian Americans Americans Latinos Whites 11 Government and income inequality Do you think that in California today all people have an equal opportunity to get ahead, or that the government should do more to make sure that all Californians have an equal opportunity to get ahead? 80 60 % 40 20 0 53 41 50 42 All adults Likely voters People have equal opportunity Government should do more 65 69 44 47 30 20 Dem Rep Ind 12 California’s future Overall, do you think that in 2025 California will be a better place to live than it is now or a worse place to live than it is now, or will there be no change? 80 60 % 40 20 40 32 23 35 39 21 45 25 25 61 20 15 Better place Worse place No change 43 30 21 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 13 Financial outlook for California’s children When children today in California grow up, do you think they will be better off or worse off financially than their parents? 80 60 % 40 50 40 20 62 32 51 39 54 38 0 All adults African Americans Asian Americans Latinos Better off Worse off 62 28 Whites 14 Preferences for using the budget surplus The state is projected to have a budget surplus of several billion 80 dollars. In general, how would you 60 prefer to use this extra money? % 40 57 21 20 16 47 28 18 Pay down debt and build up reserve Increase state funding for education, health and human services One-time state spending for 67 transportation, water, and infrastructure 49 44 14 15 22 23 28 20 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 15 Changes to the state and local tax system Overall, do you think the state and 100 local tax system is in need of major 80 changes, minor changes, or do you think it is fine 60 the way it is? % 40 20 27 49 29 54 0 All adults Likely voters 36 41 Dem Minor changes Major changes 16 32 73 52 Rep Ind 16 Policy priorities Next, there are several policy choices that the governor and legislature could make in the next few years. Each of them would require a significant amount of new state funding. Please tell me if each of the following should be a: % all adults 80 60 40 38 20 22 0 Universal health coverage 36 17 Tuition-free community college High priority Very high priority 34 14 Universal preschool 17 8 Building a highspeed rail system 17 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  State post-election landscape  Federal post-election landscape  Conclusions 18 Satisfaction with direction of the nation In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way that things are going in the United States at this time? 100 80 % 60 64 71 40 32 20 27 0 All adults Likely voters 80 18 Dem Satisfied Dissatisfied 51 45 71 26 Rep Ind 19 Confidence in President Trump How much confidence do you have in President Trump to make the right decisions for the country’s future—a great deal of confidence, a good amount, just some, or none at all? 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 None at all Just some Good amount A great deal 48 50 24 13 14 All adults 17 14 19 Likely voters 72 17 73 Dem 14 12 27 47 Rep 46 29 12 10 Ind 20 Approval of President Trump and Congress % adults President Trump President Trump 100 US Congress 100 US Congress 80 80 76 60 % 60 40 32 40 32 29 36 34 28 20 29 20 20 18 12 21 0 0 All adults Likely Dem Rep Ind voters 21 Switch of control in Congress As you may know, as a result of the recent election, control of the US House of 100 Representatives will switch from the 80 Republicans to the Democrats. Do you 60 think that this switch % is a good thing, a bad 40 thing, or doesn’t it make any difference? 20 0 80 53 55 27 17 22 21 All adults Likely voters 15 3 Dem Good thing Bad thing Does not make a difference 56 54 29 15 31 12 Rep Ind 22 Should representatives work with Trump administration? Which of the following is more important to you for your own representative to the 100 US House of Representatives in 80 Congress—that they work with the Trump 60 administration or that % they push back 40 against the Trump administration? 20 0 Work with the Trump administration Push back against the Trump administration 89 49 44 53 41 62 31 All adults Likely voters Dem 9 Rep 54 40 Ind 23 Perception of immigrants % adults 100 Immigrants are a benefit Immigrants are a burden Immigrants are a benefit Immigrants are a burden 80 100 72 83 80 72 73 60 65 60 55 40 % 40 38 29 20 23 20 23 20 11 0 0 All adults Likely Dem Rep Ind voters 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 24 Policy preference on undocumented immigrants Which comes closer to your view about how to handle undocumented immigrants who are living in the US: There should be a way for them to stay in the country legally, if certain requirements are met or they should not be allowed to stay in this country legally? % % 100 84 80 60 40 20 14 0 All adults 94 5 Dem 60 37 85 14 Rep Ind Allowed to stay legally Not allowed to stay legally 100 87 80 86 94 60 40 20 13 13 5 0 African Asian Latinos Americans Americans 77 21 Whites 25 Government regulation of business Please indicate which statement comes closest to your own view, even if neither is 80 exactly right— government regulation of business is necessary to protect % 60 the public interest, or 40 government regulation of business does more harm than good? 20 0 58 35 58 39 Necessary to protect the public interest Does more harm than good 73 66 58 30 20 38 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 26 Environmental laws and regulations Please indicate which statement comes closest to your own view, even if neither is 100 exactly right—stricter environmental laws 80 and regulations cost too many jobs and 60 hurt the economy, or % stricter environmental 40 laws and regulations are worth the cost? 20 0 Worth the cost Cost too many jobs and hurt the economy 59 33 61 33 77 17 67 26 62 32 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 27 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  State post-election landscape  Federal post-election landscape  Conclusions 28 Conclusions  Based on what they have heard so far, four in ten Californians approve of Governor-Elect Newsom’s plans and policies  As Newsom makes plans for his administration, nearly half of Californians say they want him to take a different policy direction from Governor Brown  Majorities of Californians place a high priority on new state spending on universal health coverage and tuition-free community college; fewer prioritize high-speed rail  Californians say that improving jobs and the economy is the most important priority for the future; many believe that children will be worse off than their parents  Most Californians say the election outcome of Democratic control of the House is a good thing, and about half have no confidence at all in President Trump  Overwhelming majorities view immigrants as a benefit and think there should be a way for undocumented immigrants to stay in the country legally 29 Californians and Their Government December 14, 2018 Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, Alyssa Dykman, Lunna Lopes Supported with funding from the James Irvine Foundation and the PPIC Donor Circle Notes on the use of these slides These slides were created to accompany a presentation. 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