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Eventbriefing Statewidesurvey0917

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object(Timber\Post)#3711 (44) { ["ImageClass"]=> string(12) "Timber\Image" ["PostClass"]=> string(11) "Timber\Post" ["TermClass"]=> string(11) "Timber\Term" ["object_type"]=> string(4) "post" ["custom"]=> array(5) { ["_wp_attached_file"]=> string(39) "eventbriefing_statewidesurvey0917-1.pdf" ["wpmf_size"]=> string(6) "412980" ["wpmf_filetype"]=> string(3) "pdf" ["wpmf_order"]=> string(1) "0" ["searchwp_content"]=> string(8603) "PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government September 28, 2017 Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, David Kordus, Lunna Lopes Supported with funding from the James Irvine Foundation, the California Endowment, and the PPIC Donor Circle Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  Federal issues  State issues  Conclusions 2 PPIC Statewide Survey mission  Provide timely, relevant, nonpartisan data on political, social, and economic opinions  Inform and improve state policymaking, raise awareness, encourage discussion  Provide a voice for all Californians in important state policy debates – 330,000+ Californians interviewed since 1998 – 160+ general, issue, and regional surveys 3 Californians and Their Government  General series funded by the James Irvine Foundation, the California Endowment, and the PPIC Donor Circle  Telephone interviews, September 10–19, 2017 – 63% cell phone, 37% landline – 1,734 adults, ± 3.1% margin of error – 1,103 likely voters, ± 3.8% margin of error  Views on federal elected officials and federal policy issues  Opinions on state elected officials, housing policy, and California elections 4 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  Federal issues  State issues  Conclusions 5 Approval of federal elected officials % adults President 100 US Congress 80 60 40 27 20 24 0 Jan 17 Mar 17 May 17 Jul 17 Sep 17 100 80 % 60 40 20 0 27 24 31 18 All Likely adults voters 18 8 Dem President US Congress 70 24 27 22 Rep Ind 6 Approval of US Senators 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 48 42 All adults 71 59 Dem 26 23 Rep 49 41 Dianne Feinstein Kamala Harris 54 47 Ind Likely voters 7 Dianne Feinstein in 2018 Do you think Dianne Feinstein should run for reelection as US Senator next year or not? 80 60 % 40 46 41 20 50 43 57 34 69 22 Should run Should not run 55 36 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 8 Republicans and the Affordable Care Act Which comes closer to your view: Republicans in Congress should continue working on their own plan to repeal and replace the ACA; Republicans in Congress should work with Democrats to make improvements; or Republicans in Congress should move on from health care? 100 80 60 % 40 Should continue working on plan Should work with Democrats Should move on from health care 20 0 18 58 18 All adults 5 69 25 Dem 45 41 13 Rep 16 60 24 Ind 9 Role of federal government in health care coverage Do you think it is the responsibility of the federal government to make sure all Americans have health care coverage or is that not the responsibility of the federal government? 100 80 60 % 40 20 67 31 62 37 Responsibility of government 83 Not responsibility of government 70 67 27 16 32 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 10 How should health insurance be provided? Should health insurance be provided through a single national health insurance system run by the government or continue to be provided through a mix of private insurance companies and government programs? 4% 44% Single national health insurance system run by government Mix of private insurance companies and government programs 52% Don’t know Among those who think it is government’s responsibility 11 Immigrants and immigration policy % adults Perception of immigrants in California Immigrants are a benefit 100 Immigrants are a burden 80 76 60 40 20 20 0 Support for a wall along the border with Mexico Favor 100 89 Oppose 80 60 % 40 20 73 24 68 31 10 72 64 33 26 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 12 Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals Thinking about undocumented immigrants brought to the US as children, do you favor or oppose the protections given by ‛DACA’—Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals—which includes protection from deportation and a work permit, if they pass a background check? 100 90 80 78 77 60 % 40 20 19 21 0 All adults Likely voters 9 Dem Favor Oppose 77 61 36 20 Rep Ind 13 President Trump and North Korea Do you have confidence in Donald Trump’s ability to handle the situation with North Korea’s nuclear program, or are you uneasy about his approach? 100 80 60 % 40 20 59 38 67 29 87 11 0 US* *August CBS News poll California Dem 68 28 Rep Have confidence Uneasy 67 29 Ind 14 Concern over North Korea’s missile program How concerned are you 100 about the possibility of North Korea having a 80 nuclear missile that could reach California— 60 28 30 30 are you very concerned, % somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or 40 not at all concerned? 49 49 50 20 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Somewhat concerned Very concerned 29 25 46 48 Rep Ind 15 Perception of Russian involvement in the US election Which best describes your view of possible Russian interference in the 2016 election? Political distraction 100 80 60 % 40 Serious, but not as serious as other issues Critical issue of national security 20 0 31 28 37 All adults 15 32 50 Dem 68 22 9 Rep 33 29 36 Ind 16 Perception of Russian involvement in the US election Do you think the Russian government tried to influence the outcome of last fall’s US presidential election, or not? 100 80 60 % Yes, and Trump campaign members intentionally helped Yes, but Trump campaign members didn't intentionally help Yes, don't know if campaign members intentionally helped No 40 20 0 47 10 33 All adults 70 7 16 Dem 15 15 65 Rep 44 10 37 Ind 17 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  Federal issues  State issues  Conclusions 18 Approval of state elected officials % adults 80 60 40 20 0 Sep-12 Sep-13 Sep-14 Sep-15 Governor Brown California Legislature 55 49 Sep-16 Sep-17 19 Policies of California’s next governor Would you rather see the next California governor elected in November 2018 generally continue Jerry Brown’s policies or mostly change to different policies? 100 Continue Brown’s policies Change to different policies 81 80 60 % 40 47 39 20 49 43 58 29 14 55 36 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 20 Outlook for the state 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 54 51 All adults 51 51 Likely voters 69 56 Dem Think things are headed in the right direction Expect good times financially 40 23 48 48 Rep Ind 21 Housing affordability 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 64 46 All adults 59 44 Likely voters 68 61 Dem A $75 fee on real estate documents for affordable housing Building more housing in your city or community to meet current need 62 44 43 19 Rep Ind 22 Political divisions in the nation and state 100 80 60 % 40 Optimistic that _________ of different political views can still come together and work out their differences 77 64 56 61 55 58 52 39 Americans Californians 59 55 20 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 23 Race relations in the nation and state 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 Belief that race relations in _________ are worse than they were a year ago 49 31 58 32 43 28 All adults Dem Rep United States California 50 33 Ind 24 Concern about voting in California elections Very 100 80 Somewhat 33 Not too Not at all 28 60 % 40 20 0 22 26 18 Too hard for eligible people to vote 19 23 29 Too easy for ineligible people to vote 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 Too hard for eligible people to vote Too easy for ineligible people to vote 52 41 73 22 46 40 Dem Rep Ind 25 Political engagement since the election 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 51 32 All adults 55 37 Likely voters Paying more attention to politics Having more interest in town hall meetings 59 43 48 25 49 28 Dem Rep Ind 26 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  Federal issues  State issues  Conclusions 27 Conclusions  A record-high share of Californians have a favorable opinion of the Affordable Care Act, and most want Republicans to work with Democrats to improve the law.  A record-high three in four Californians view immigrants as a benefit. There is bipartisan support for DACA protections.  Most give positive ratings to state elected officials, but about half of adults and likely voters want change from the next governor.  Californians perceive race relations as having gotten worse in the United States over the last year; fewer say this about race relations in the state. 28 PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government September 28, 2017 Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, David Kordus, Lunna Lopes Supported with funding from the James Irvine Foundation, the California Endowment, and the PPIC Donor Circle Notes on the use of these slides These slides were created to accompany a presentation. They do not include full documentation of sources, data samples, methods, and interpretations. To avoid misinterpretations, please contact: Dean Bonner (bonner@ppic.org; 415-291-4497) Thank you for your interest in this work. 30" } ["___content":protected]=> string(154) "

Eventbriefing Statewidesurvey0917

" ["_permalink":protected]=> string(129) "https://www.ppic.org/event/statewide-survey-californians-and-their-government-september-2017/eventbriefing_statewidesurvey0917-2/" ["_next":protected]=> array(0) { } ["_prev":protected]=> array(0) { } ["_css_class":protected]=> NULL ["id"]=> int(11924) ["ID"]=> int(11924) ["post_author"]=> string(1) "9" ["post_content"]=> string(0) "" ["post_date"]=> string(19) "2017-09-28 09:59:02" ["post_excerpt"]=> string(0) "" ["post_parent"]=> int(11459) ["post_status"]=> string(7) "inherit" ["post_title"]=> string(33) "Eventbriefing Statewidesurvey0917" ["post_type"]=> string(10) "attachment" ["slug"]=> string(35) "eventbriefing_statewidesurvey0917-2" ["__type":protected]=> NULL ["_wp_attached_file"]=> string(39) "eventbriefing_statewidesurvey0917-1.pdf" ["wpmf_size"]=> string(6) "412980" ["wpmf_filetype"]=> string(3) "pdf" ["wpmf_order"]=> string(1) "0" ["searchwp_content"]=> string(8603) "PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government September 28, 2017 Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, David Kordus, Lunna Lopes Supported with funding from the James Irvine Foundation, the California Endowment, and the PPIC Donor Circle Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  Federal issues  State issues  Conclusions 2 PPIC Statewide Survey mission  Provide timely, relevant, nonpartisan data on political, social, and economic opinions  Inform and improve state policymaking, raise awareness, encourage discussion  Provide a voice for all Californians in important state policy debates – 330,000+ Californians interviewed since 1998 – 160+ general, issue, and regional surveys 3 Californians and Their Government  General series funded by the James Irvine Foundation, the California Endowment, and the PPIC Donor Circle  Telephone interviews, September 10–19, 2017 – 63% cell phone, 37% landline – 1,734 adults, ± 3.1% margin of error – 1,103 likely voters, ± 3.8% margin of error  Views on federal elected officials and federal policy issues  Opinions on state elected officials, housing policy, and California elections 4 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  Federal issues  State issues  Conclusions 5 Approval of federal elected officials % adults President 100 US Congress 80 60 40 27 20 24 0 Jan 17 Mar 17 May 17 Jul 17 Sep 17 100 80 % 60 40 20 0 27 24 31 18 All Likely adults voters 18 8 Dem President US Congress 70 24 27 22 Rep Ind 6 Approval of US Senators 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 48 42 All adults 71 59 Dem 26 23 Rep 49 41 Dianne Feinstein Kamala Harris 54 47 Ind Likely voters 7 Dianne Feinstein in 2018 Do you think Dianne Feinstein should run for reelection as US Senator next year or not? 80 60 % 40 46 41 20 50 43 57 34 69 22 Should run Should not run 55 36 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 8 Republicans and the Affordable Care Act Which comes closer to your view: Republicans in Congress should continue working on their own plan to repeal and replace the ACA; Republicans in Congress should work with Democrats to make improvements; or Republicans in Congress should move on from health care? 100 80 60 % 40 Should continue working on plan Should work with Democrats Should move on from health care 20 0 18 58 18 All adults 5 69 25 Dem 45 41 13 Rep 16 60 24 Ind 9 Role of federal government in health care coverage Do you think it is the responsibility of the federal government to make sure all Americans have health care coverage or is that not the responsibility of the federal government? 100 80 60 % 40 20 67 31 62 37 Responsibility of government 83 Not responsibility of government 70 67 27 16 32 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 10 How should health insurance be provided? Should health insurance be provided through a single national health insurance system run by the government or continue to be provided through a mix of private insurance companies and government programs? 4% 44% Single national health insurance system run by government Mix of private insurance companies and government programs 52% Don’t know Among those who think it is government’s responsibility 11 Immigrants and immigration policy % adults Perception of immigrants in California Immigrants are a benefit 100 Immigrants are a burden 80 76 60 40 20 20 0 Support for a wall along the border with Mexico Favor 100 89 Oppose 80 60 % 40 20 73 24 68 31 10 72 64 33 26 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 12 Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals Thinking about undocumented immigrants brought to the US as children, do you favor or oppose the protections given by ‛DACA’—Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals—which includes protection from deportation and a work permit, if they pass a background check? 100 90 80 78 77 60 % 40 20 19 21 0 All adults Likely voters 9 Dem Favor Oppose 77 61 36 20 Rep Ind 13 President Trump and North Korea Do you have confidence in Donald Trump’s ability to handle the situation with North Korea’s nuclear program, or are you uneasy about his approach? 100 80 60 % 40 20 59 38 67 29 87 11 0 US* *August CBS News poll California Dem 68 28 Rep Have confidence Uneasy 67 29 Ind 14 Concern over North Korea’s missile program How concerned are you 100 about the possibility of North Korea having a 80 nuclear missile that could reach California— 60 28 30 30 are you very concerned, % somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or 40 not at all concerned? 49 49 50 20 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Somewhat concerned Very concerned 29 25 46 48 Rep Ind 15 Perception of Russian involvement in the US election Which best describes your view of possible Russian interference in the 2016 election? Political distraction 100 80 60 % 40 Serious, but not as serious as other issues Critical issue of national security 20 0 31 28 37 All adults 15 32 50 Dem 68 22 9 Rep 33 29 36 Ind 16 Perception of Russian involvement in the US election Do you think the Russian government tried to influence the outcome of last fall’s US presidential election, or not? 100 80 60 % Yes, and Trump campaign members intentionally helped Yes, but Trump campaign members didn't intentionally help Yes, don't know if campaign members intentionally helped No 40 20 0 47 10 33 All adults 70 7 16 Dem 15 15 65 Rep 44 10 37 Ind 17 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  Federal issues  State issues  Conclusions 18 Approval of state elected officials % adults 80 60 40 20 0 Sep-12 Sep-13 Sep-14 Sep-15 Governor Brown California Legislature 55 49 Sep-16 Sep-17 19 Policies of California’s next governor Would you rather see the next California governor elected in November 2018 generally continue Jerry Brown’s policies or mostly change to different policies? 100 Continue Brown’s policies Change to different policies 81 80 60 % 40 47 39 20 49 43 58 29 14 55 36 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 20 Outlook for the state 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 54 51 All adults 51 51 Likely voters 69 56 Dem Think things are headed in the right direction Expect good times financially 40 23 48 48 Rep Ind 21 Housing affordability 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 64 46 All adults 59 44 Likely voters 68 61 Dem A $75 fee on real estate documents for affordable housing Building more housing in your city or community to meet current need 62 44 43 19 Rep Ind 22 Political divisions in the nation and state 100 80 60 % 40 Optimistic that _________ of different political views can still come together and work out their differences 77 64 56 61 55 58 52 39 Americans Californians 59 55 20 0 All adults Likely voters Dem Rep Ind 23 Race relations in the nation and state 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 Belief that race relations in _________ are worse than they were a year ago 49 31 58 32 43 28 All adults Dem Rep United States California 50 33 Ind 24 Concern about voting in California elections Very 100 80 Somewhat 33 Not too Not at all 28 60 % 40 20 0 22 26 18 Too hard for eligible people to vote 19 23 29 Too easy for ineligible people to vote 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 Too hard for eligible people to vote Too easy for ineligible people to vote 52 41 73 22 46 40 Dem Rep Ind 25 Political engagement since the election 100 80 60 % 40 20 0 51 32 All adults 55 37 Likely voters Paying more attention to politics Having more interest in town hall meetings 59 43 48 25 49 28 Dem Rep Ind 26 Outline  PPIC Statewide Surveys  Federal issues  State issues  Conclusions 27 Conclusions  A record-high share of Californians have a favorable opinion of the Affordable Care Act, and most want Republicans to work with Democrats to improve the law.  A record-high three in four Californians view immigrants as a benefit. There is bipartisan support for DACA protections.  Most give positive ratings to state elected officials, but about half of adults and likely voters want change from the next governor.  Californians perceive race relations as having gotten worse in the United States over the last year; fewer say this about race relations in the state. 28 PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government September 28, 2017 Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, David Kordus, Lunna Lopes Supported with funding from the James Irvine Foundation, the California Endowment, and the PPIC Donor Circle Notes on the use of these slides These slides were created to accompany a presentation. They do not include full documentation of sources, data samples, methods, and interpretations. 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