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JTF CaDivideJTF

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object(Timber\Post)#3742 (44) { ["ImageClass"]=> string(12) "Timber\Image" ["PostClass"]=> string(11) "Timber\Post" ["TermClass"]=> string(11) "Timber\Term" ["object_type"]=> string(4) "post" ["custom"]=> array(5) { ["_wp_attached_file"]=> string(19) "JTF_CaDivideJTF.pdf" ["wpmf_size"]=> string(6) "164928" ["wpmf_filetype"]=> string(3) "pdf" ["wpmf_order"]=> string(1) "0" ["searchwp_content"]=> string(6142) "CALIFORNIA’S PARTISAN DIVIDE AUGUST 2008 Prior to the November 2004 General Election, Californians were deeply divided along party lines on  many key issues.  As the 2008 General Election approaches, voters remain fundamentally at odds on a  variety of critical policies; yet, the partisan gap has narrowed in opinions about the general direction of  the country, the state of the economy, and approval ratings of the president.  How will the “red” and  “blue” divide play out this November?  Analyses of PPIC Statewide surveys point to persistent and  increasing differences between parties on policy, but growing consensus that change is needed.  ƒ PARTISAN GAP NARROWS IN OPINIONS ABOUT NATION’S DIRECTION, ECONOMY, PRESIDENT. Today, just 12% of Democrats and 31% of Republicans believe the country is headed in the right  direction, compared to 20% of Democrats and 74% of Republicans in 2004.  Moreover, only 15% of  Democrats and 29% of Republicans think that the United States is headed toward good economic  times – an overwhelming drop of 16 points among Democrat and 44 points among Republicans  since 2004.  Approval ratings of President Bush have also declined:  only 7% of Democrats and 54%  of Republicans approve of how he is handling his job today, narrowing the divide by 20 points.  ƒ REPUBLICANS STILL MORE OPTIMISTIC THAN DEMOCRATS ABOUT WAR IN IRAQ. Although optimism over the war has increased slightly across parties since 2004, Democrats (20%)  are still far less likely than Republicans (71%) to think that the situation in Iraq is going well.  And  partisan division has increased significantly over the effect of the war on the long‐term security of  the United States:  Just 27% of Democrats think the war has contributed to the nation’s long‐term  security – an 11 point drop since 2004.  Republican views on this issue are the same as in 2004 (69%).  ƒ DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON TAXATION, REGULATION OF BUSINESS. The partisan divide over taxation is about the same as in 2004.  Republicans (69%) remain far more  likely than Democrats (29%) to prefer lower taxes and a government that provides fewer services.   Democrats today (67%) are somewhat more likely than in 2004 (61%) to believe that government  regulation of business is necessary to protect the public interest, leading to a 7 point increase in the  partisan gap on the issue.  Republican support on this issue (41%) is about the same as in 2004 (42%).  ƒ SOCIAL POLICY DIFFERENCES ARE ABOUT THE SAME AS FOUR YEARS AGO. Democrats (60%) continue to be far more likely than Republicans (23%) to favor gay and lesbian  marriage.  Republicans (42%) remain far more likely than Democrats (18%) to believe the  government should pass more laws restricting abortion.   ƒ IMMIGRATION AND HEALTH CARE POLICY PERCEPTIONS HAVE WIDENED SINCE 2004. Democrats today are even more likely than in 2004 to differ from Republicans in saying that  immigrants are a benefit to California (63% to 25%) and to favor universal health care coverage  (76% to 31%).  The divide has increased by 9 points on immigration, 10 points on health care policy.  ƒ PARTISAN DIFFERENCES ON ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY HAVE INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE 2004. Since 2004, the partisan divide has increased 11 points on the issue of global warming.  Today,  almost all Democrats (94%) think that it is necessary to counter the effects of global warming right  away, while far fewer Republicans (54%) agree.  A 12 point increase in the divide on allowing more  oil drilling is largely due to a surge in support among Republicans (62% in 2004, 77% today).     www.ppic.org California’s Partisan Divide Think that the United States is headed in the right direction September 2004 August 2008 Likely Voters 41% 22 Party Registration Dem 20% Rep 74% 12 31 Party Divide (percentage points) 54 19 Change in Divide (percentage points) ­ 35 Think that the United States will have good times financially in the next year September 2004 August 2008 47 19 31 73 15 29 42 14 - 28 Approve of the way that George W. Bush is handling his job as president of the United States August 2004 August 2008 42 14 81 27 7 54 67 47 - 20 Think that things are going well for the United States in Iraq August 2004 August 2008 35 13 66 45 20 71 53 51 -2 Would rather pay lower taxes and May 2004 have a state government that provides fewer services May 2008 47 27 68 47 29 69 41 40 -1 Favor allowing gay and lesbian couples to be legally married February 2004 August 2008 43 47 57 23 60 23 34 37 +3 Think the government should pass more laws that restrict the availability of abortion February 2004 August 2008 22 24 16 35 18 42 19 24 +5 Believe government regulation of September 2004 business is necessary to protect public interest August 2008 54 56 61 42 67 41 19 26 +7 Think immigrants today are a benefit to California because of their hard work and job skills February 2004 August 2008 49 48 61 32 63 25 29 38 +9 Favor universal health care coverage September 2004 August 2008 54 54 72 37 76 31 35 45 + 10 Think the war in Iraq has contributed to the long-term security of the United States August 2004 August 2008 48 38 69 45 27 69 31 42 + 11 Believe it is necessary to take steps to counter the effects of global warming right away July 2004 July 2008 74 86 57 75 94 54 29 40 + 11 Favor allowing more oil drilling off the California coast July 2004 July 2008 42 32 62 51 35 77 30 42 + 12 Sources: PPIC Statewide Surveys: February, May, July, August, September 2004; May, July, August 2008. Contact: surveys@ppic.org www.ppic.org" } ["___content":protected]=> string(116) "

JTF CaDivideJTF

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Today, just 12% of Democrats and 31% of Republicans believe the country is headed in the right  direction, compared to 20% of Democrats and 74% of Republicans in 2004.  Moreover, only 15% of  Democrats and 29% of Republicans think that the United States is headed toward good economic  times – an overwhelming drop of 16 points among Democrat and 44 points among Republicans  since 2004.  Approval ratings of President Bush have also declined:  only 7% of Democrats and 54%  of Republicans approve of how he is handling his job today, narrowing the divide by 20 points.  ƒ REPUBLICANS STILL MORE OPTIMISTIC THAN DEMOCRATS ABOUT WAR IN IRAQ. Although optimism over the war has increased slightly across parties since 2004, Democrats (20%)  are still far less likely than Republicans (71%) to think that the situation in Iraq is going well.  And  partisan division has increased significantly over the effect of the war on the long‐term security of  the United States:  Just 27% of Democrats think the war has contributed to the nation’s long‐term  security – an 11 point drop since 2004.  Republican views on this issue are the same as in 2004 (69%).  ƒ DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON TAXATION, REGULATION OF BUSINESS. The partisan divide over taxation is about the same as in 2004.  Republicans (69%) remain far more  likely than Democrats (29%) to prefer lower taxes and a government that provides fewer services.   Democrats today (67%) are somewhat more likely than in 2004 (61%) to believe that government  regulation of business is necessary to protect the public interest, leading to a 7 point increase in the  partisan gap on the issue.  Republican support on this issue (41%) is about the same as in 2004 (42%).  ƒ SOCIAL POLICY DIFFERENCES ARE ABOUT THE SAME AS FOUR YEARS AGO. Democrats (60%) continue to be far more likely than Republicans (23%) to favor gay and lesbian  marriage.  Republicans (42%) remain far more likely than Democrats (18%) to believe the  government should pass more laws restricting abortion.   ƒ IMMIGRATION AND HEALTH CARE POLICY PERCEPTIONS HAVE WIDENED SINCE 2004. Democrats today are even more likely than in 2004 to differ from Republicans in saying that  immigrants are a benefit to California (63% to 25%) and to favor universal health care coverage  (76% to 31%).  The divide has increased by 9 points on immigration, 10 points on health care policy.  ƒ PARTISAN DIFFERENCES ON ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY HAVE INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE 2004. Since 2004, the partisan divide has increased 11 points on the issue of global warming.  Today,  almost all Democrats (94%) think that it is necessary to counter the effects of global warming right  away, while far fewer Republicans (54%) agree.  A 12 point increase in the divide on allowing more  oil drilling is largely due to a surge in support among Republicans (62% in 2004, 77% today).     www.ppic.org California’s Partisan Divide Think that the United States is headed in the right direction September 2004 August 2008 Likely Voters 41% 22 Party Registration Dem 20% Rep 74% 12 31 Party Divide (percentage points) 54 19 Change in Divide (percentage points) ­ 35 Think that the United States will have good times financially in the next year September 2004 August 2008 47 19 31 73 15 29 42 14 - 28 Approve of the way that George W. Bush is handling his job as president of the United States August 2004 August 2008 42 14 81 27 7 54 67 47 - 20 Think that things are going well for the United States in Iraq August 2004 August 2008 35 13 66 45 20 71 53 51 -2 Would rather pay lower taxes and May 2004 have a state government that provides fewer services May 2008 47 27 68 47 29 69 41 40 -1 Favor allowing gay and lesbian couples to be legally married February 2004 August 2008 43 47 57 23 60 23 34 37 +3 Think the government should pass more laws that restrict the availability of abortion February 2004 August 2008 22 24 16 35 18 42 19 24 +5 Believe government regulation of September 2004 business is necessary to protect public interest August 2008 54 56 61 42 67 41 19 26 +7 Think immigrants today are a benefit to California because of their hard work and job skills February 2004 August 2008 49 48 61 32 63 25 29 38 +9 Favor universal health care coverage September 2004 August 2008 54 54 72 37 76 31 35 45 + 10 Think the war in Iraq has contributed to the long-term security of the United States August 2004 August 2008 48 38 69 45 27 69 31 42 + 11 Believe it is necessary to take steps to counter the effects of global warming right away July 2004 July 2008 74 86 57 75 94 54 29 40 + 11 Favor allowing more oil drilling off the California coast July 2004 July 2008 42 32 62 51 35 77 30 42 + 12 Sources: PPIC Statewide Surveys: February, May, July, August, September 2004; May, July, August 2008. 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