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object(Timber\Post)#3711 (44) { ["ImageClass"]=> string(12) "Timber\Image" ["PostClass"]=> string(11) "Timber\Post" ["TermClass"]=> string(11) "Timber\Term" ["object_type"]=> string(4) "post" ["custom"]=> array(5) { ["_wp_attached_file"]=> string(28) "JTF_PartyRegistrationJTF.pdf" ["wpmf_size"]=> string(5) "85407" ["wpmf_filetype"]=> string(3) "pdf" ["wpmf_order"]=> string(1) "0" ["searchwp_content"]=> string(5253) "www.ppic.org PARTY REGISTRATION IN CALI FORNIA Dean Bonner and Eric McGhee  The latest voter registration rate suggests a continuation of the status quo . The Secretary of State has released the first official report of registration for the 2014 campaign season —a midterm election with no presidential contest on the ballot . To date, 73.4% of eligible residents (or 17,660,257 Californians) have registered to vote . T his percenta ge is well in line with registration rates over the past 50 years ( about one or two points higher than recent midterm election s but slightly below the roughly 75 % rate of the early 1990s ).  Independents and minor party supporters are the growing categories. T he share of voters registered either as independents (officially called “no party preference” or “NPP” in California) or as minor party adherents is up 3 perc entage points from four years ago (24.7% to 27.7%). Their share of the electorate has increased in every election year since 1990. Compared to four years ago, Democratic registration is down about a percentage point (44.6% to 43.6%) and Republican registra tion about two percentage points (30.8% to 28.7%).  The demographic composition of registered voters in California differ s from the general population . PPIC Statewide S urveys have consistently found differences between those who are registered to vote and the rest of the state . For example, whites account for 44% of California’s adult population but represent a majority of the state’s registered voters (56%), while Latinos constitute 33% of the adult population but only 22% of regist ered voters. Y ounger, less educated, less affluent Californians and those who rent rather than own their homes also account for a smaller share of registered voters than the ir representation in the broader population. The differences are even larger in the case of the subset of r egistered voters most likely to vote.  Independents are more likely to align with the politics of the Democratic Party. M ost independents in California consider themselves closer to the Democratic than the Republican Party (41% to 28%), although 31% do not identify with either party. In terms of ideology, 40% of independents consider themselves to be moderate or m iddle -of -the -road , compared to 30% each who call themselves liberal or conservative. On issues that divide Democrats and Republicans , independent voters often, al though not always, agree with Democrats in the PPIC Statewide Surveys . For example, 69% of Democrats and 62% of independents favor same -sex marriage , while 58% of Republicans are opposed. In contrast, independents are divided on the issue of business regulation (47 % say regulation is necessary , 48% believe it does more harm than good ), while nearly six in 10 Democrats say regulation is necessary and eight in 10 Republicans view it as harm ful. On all of these issues, independents who lean toward the Democratic Party hold different views than those who lean Republican.  Regional and statewide p arty trends are similar while a few district changes are noteworthy . C hanges in party registration in the state’s 15 largest counties (comprising 82% of the population) have largely tracked the statewide average, though there has been some variation in how the Republican and independent/other categories have shifted. The same is true for the state’s new congressional and legislative districts. In the roughly two years since the districts were drawn, their party complexion has changed in a fairly uniform way that matches statewide trends: roughly static Democratic registration, declining Republican registration, and climbing independent/other registration. The largest deviations from these broader trends have occurred in one area of Riverside County, where Assembly Districts 60 and 61, Senate District 31, and Congressional District 41 have seen a drop in t he share of independent/other registration and an unusually large increase in Republican registration. There are also a few districts in California where Democrats have fared especially well compared to Republicans (AD 13 around Stockton and CD 47 in Long Beach and northern Orange County) and a few where the opposite has been true (AD 21 and SD 12 around Merced and CD 10 around Modesto ). March 2014 PARTY REGISTRATION IN CALIFORNIA March 2014 www.ppic.org California party registration: 1962 –2014 Source: California Secretary of State, Reports of Registration (for the most recent registration numbers we used the 154 Day Report of Registration as of December 31, 2013). Major party leanings among independent voters Source: PPIC Statewide Surveys, 2013. Sources: PPIC Statewide Surveys, 201 3. California Secretary of State, Rep orts of Registration (for the most recent registration numbers we used the 154 Day Report of Registration as of December 31, 2013) . U.S. Census Bureau , 2010 –2012 ACS dataset . Contact: bonner@ppic.org or mcghee@ppic.org Supported with funding from the S. D. Bechtel, Jr. Foundation 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1962 1967197219771982198719921999200420092014 % Democrats 44% Republicans 29% Independents 21% Other 7% 28% 41% 31% Republican party Democratic party Neither Lean toward:" } ["___content":protected]=> string(134) "

JTF PartyRegistrationJTF

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The Secretary of State has released the first official report of registration for the 2014 campaign season —a midterm election with no presidential contest on the ballot . To date, 73.4% of eligible residents (or 17,660,257 Californians) have registered to vote . T his percenta ge is well in line with registration rates over the past 50 years ( about one or two points higher than recent midterm election s but slightly below the roughly 75 % rate of the early 1990s ).  Independents and minor party supporters are the growing categories. T he share of voters registered either as independents (officially called “no party preference” or “NPP” in California) or as minor party adherents is up 3 perc entage points from four years ago (24.7% to 27.7%). Their share of the electorate has increased in every election year since 1990. Compared to four years ago, Democratic registration is down about a percentage point (44.6% to 43.6%) and Republican registra tion about two percentage points (30.8% to 28.7%).  The demographic composition of registered voters in California differ s from the general population . PPIC Statewide S urveys have consistently found differences between those who are registered to vote and the rest of the state . For example, whites account for 44% of California’s adult population but represent a majority of the state’s registered voters (56%), while Latinos constitute 33% of the adult population but only 22% of regist ered voters. Y ounger, less educated, less affluent Californians and those who rent rather than own their homes also account for a smaller share of registered voters than the ir representation in the broader population. The differences are even larger in the case of the subset of r egistered voters most likely to vote.  Independents are more likely to align with the politics of the Democratic Party. M ost independents in California consider themselves closer to the Democratic than the Republican Party (41% to 28%), although 31% do not identify with either party. In terms of ideology, 40% of independents consider themselves to be moderate or m iddle -of -the -road , compared to 30% each who call themselves liberal or conservative. On issues that divide Democrats and Republicans , independent voters often, al though not always, agree with Democrats in the PPIC Statewide Surveys . For example, 69% of Democrats and 62% of independents favor same -sex marriage , while 58% of Republicans are opposed. In contrast, independents are divided on the issue of business regulation (47 % say regulation is necessary , 48% believe it does more harm than good ), while nearly six in 10 Democrats say regulation is necessary and eight in 10 Republicans view it as harm ful. On all of these issues, independents who lean toward the Democratic Party hold different views than those who lean Republican.  Regional and statewide p arty trends are similar while a few district changes are noteworthy . C hanges in party registration in the state’s 15 largest counties (comprising 82% of the population) have largely tracked the statewide average, though there has been some variation in how the Republican and independent/other categories have shifted. The same is true for the state’s new congressional and legislative districts. In the roughly two years since the districts were drawn, their party complexion has changed in a fairly uniform way that matches statewide trends: roughly static Democratic registration, declining Republican registration, and climbing independent/other registration. The largest deviations from these broader trends have occurred in one area of Riverside County, where Assembly Districts 60 and 61, Senate District 31, and Congressional District 41 have seen a drop in t he share of independent/other registration and an unusually large increase in Republican registration. There are also a few districts in California where Democrats have fared especially well compared to Republicans (AD 13 around Stockton and CD 47 in Long Beach and northern Orange County) and a few where the opposite has been true (AD 21 and SD 12 around Merced and CD 10 around Modesto ). March 2014 PARTY REGISTRATION IN CALIFORNIA March 2014 www.ppic.org California party registration: 1962 –2014 Source: California Secretary of State, Reports of Registration (for the most recent registration numbers we used the 154 Day Report of Registration as of December 31, 2013). Major party leanings among independent voters Source: PPIC Statewide Surveys, 2013. Sources: PPIC Statewide Surveys, 201 3. California Secretary of State, Rep orts of Registration (for the most recent registration numbers we used the 154 Day Report of Registration as of December 31, 2013) . U.S. Census Bureau , 2010 –2012 ACS dataset . Contact: bonner@ppic.org or mcghee@ppic.org Supported with funding from the S. D. Bechtel, Jr. Foundation 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1962 1967197219771982198719921999200420092014 % Democrats 44% Republicans 29% Independents 21% Other 7% 28% 41% 31% Republican party Democratic party Neither Lean toward:" ["post_date_gmt"]=> string(19) "2017-05-20 09:41:58" ["comment_status"]=> string(4) "open" ["ping_status"]=> string(6) "closed" ["post_password"]=> string(0) "" ["post_name"]=> string(24) "jtf_partyregistrationjtf" ["to_ping"]=> string(0) "" ["pinged"]=> string(0) "" ["post_modified"]=> string(19) "2017-05-20 02:41:58" ["post_modified_gmt"]=> string(19) "2017-05-20 09:41:58" ["post_content_filtered"]=> string(0) "" ["guid"]=> string(66) "http://148.62.4.17/wp-content/uploads/JTF_PartyRegistrationJTF.pdf" ["menu_order"]=> int(0) ["post_mime_type"]=> string(15) "application/pdf" ["comment_count"]=> string(1) "0" ["filter"]=> string(3) "raw" ["status"]=> string(7) "inherit" ["attachment_authors"]=> bool(false) }