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California’s Need for Skilled Workers

By Sarah Bohn

If recent trends continue, California is likely to face a shortage of workers with some college education but less than a bachelor’s degree by 2025. State and federal policymakers have increased their focus on boosting educational opportunities for this segment of the workforce. This report examines labor market outcomes among workers with some college training to shed light on the types of jobs that hold the most promise for future workers and the state economy.

Report

High-Tech Start-Ups and Industry Dynamics in Silicon Valley

By Junfu Zhang

Silicon Valley's enterprising high-tech industries are driven by innovation, and each new wave of innovation is usually led by creative entrepreneurs starting new firms. However, after great economic success in the 1990s, Silicon Valley is now enduring a deep recession. To better understand the region's past successes and future prospects, the author examines business formation, growth, mortality, and migration in the valley during the 1990s, analyzing how the region's economy evolves and operates through these dynamic processes. He concludes by offering a number of specific recommendations for ensuring the vitality of the region.

Occasional Paper, Report

The Economic Effects of Mandated Wage Floors

By David Neumark

Presentation at forum: "Living Wage: What Business Groups Need to Know," U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Washington, D.C., February 20, 2004

California Economic Policy, Report

Day Labor in the Golden State

By Arturo Gonzalez

Situated on busy street corners and in front of home improvement stores, day labor markets are highly visible. Yet little is known about day laborers themselves—their demographic characteristics, economic outcomes, or working conditions. Using data from the National Day Labor Survey, this report examines the day labor population and looks at the ways local governments are responding to the presence of day labor markets in their communities.

Report

The Emerging Integration of the California-Mexico Economies

By Howard J. Shatz, Luis Felipe López-Calva

This volume examines the many ways in which California and Mexico are integrating, focusing in particular on trade and foreign direct investment.

Trade links between Mexico and California are deep, in the sense that the total value of traded goods is high, and broad, in the sense that many different types of goods are traded. California exports to Mexico are more diverse across product classes than California exports to the rest of the world. In addition, they embody less skill than do California exports to the rest of the world, implying that trade with Mexico has provided greater opportunity to production workers than has trade with the rest of the world. Between 2000 and 2002, more than 200,000 California workers each year produced exports to Mexico — 17 percent of all export-related jobs in the state.

Foreign direct investment (FDI) between California and Mexico — that is, cross-border investment used to establish or control a business — has also increased dramatically in recent years. Many Mexican-owned subsidiaries in California are in wholesale and retail trade, whereas 55 percent of California-owned subsidiaries in Mexico are in the manufacturing sector.

In addition to their analysis, the authors suggest a number of policy options that might further the economic integration of Mexico and California. They also note that whatever policies the state chooses, devoting more attention to the border area is a worthwhile starting point because the infrastructure of this region is so strongly affected by — and so strongly affects — the economic interaction of California and Mexico.

California Economic Policy, Report

Are Businesses Fleeing the State? Interstate Business Relocation and Employment Change in California

By David Neumark, Junfu Zhang, Brandon Wall

A commonly heard theme in recent public debates about California's economic problems is that the state's economy is hostile to the needs of business. As evidence, it is asserted that businesses are leaving the state in droves, taking Californians' jobs. In reality, little is actually known about the trend of out-of-state business relocation. In this issue of California Economic Policy, the authors examine the phenomenon in a more complete context. They find that California does in fact lose businesses and jobs because of relocation, but the effect on employment is negligible.

California Counts, Report

Recent Trends in Income and Poverty

By Deborah Reed

Examines recent trends in the distribution of family income in California, including comparisons to trends in earlier decades. Looks specifically at how changing economic conditions have affected levels of poverty, affluence, and income inequality. Also documents sources of family income, describes variations in family income by demographic group and by region, and discusses the demographic and economic determinants of income trends in California.

Report

Who Pays for Development Fees and Exactions?

By Steven M. Sheffrin, Marla Dresch

Exactions are payments made by a developer to local governments for the right to proceed with a project. Exactions can include development fees, the dedication of public land, the construction or maintenance of public infrastructure, or the provision of public services. Developers complain that exactions have become excessive, stifling economic growth. Local government officials argue that these levies are essential to growth: Without them, local government could not provide the infrastructure necessary for new development. Although California leads the nation in imposing fees on new residential development, surprisingly little is known about the nature and effects of these fees—for example, the extent to which they are passed on to consumers in the form of higher home prices. This volume presents the results of an econometric analysis of development fees in Contra Costa County—a county in the San Francisco Bay area that has experienced rapid growth in recent decades.

Statewide Survey

PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government

By Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, Sonja Petek, Jui Shrestha

Some findings of the current survey:

  • Californians are divided in their assessment of the Affordable Care Act, but most are aware that California has a health care exchange.
  • In the wake of the government shutdown and the flawed rollout of the national health insurance website, approval of both the president and Congress has dropped to record lows.
  • A record-high 66 percent of Californians say the state is economically divided into haves and have-nots.

Job Approval Ratings:
President Obama [PDF]
Governor Brown [PDF]
California State Legislature [PDF]
U.S. Congress [PDF]

Time Trends of Job Approval Ratings:
President Obama [XLS]
Governor Brown [XLS]
California State Legislature [XLS]
U.S. Congress [XLS]

Mood of Californians:
General Direction of Things in California [PDF]
Economic Outlook for California [PDF]
General Direction of Things in the United States [PDF]
Economic Outlook for the United States [PDF]

Time Trends for the Mood of Californians:
General Direction of Things in California [XLS]
Economic Outlook for California [XLS]
General Direction of Things in the United States [XLS]
Economic Outlook for the United States [XLS]

This survey was supported with funding from The James Irvine Foundation.

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