Fact Sheet California’s Independent Voters By Mark Baldassare, Lunna Lopes, Dean Bonner, Alyssa Dykman Aug 27, 2018 Independents are now California’s second-largest voting bloc. Most lean toward a major party—but most also say neither party does an adequate job.
blog post Will California’s Red Districts Turn Blue in November? By Eric McGhee Jun 7, 2018 The primary results offer some insight into how Californians will vote in the general election, but whether Democrats can turn Republican-held districts blue remains to be seen.
blog post A Preview of the California Governor’s Election By Mark Baldassare Jun 6, 2018 California’s next governor will be either Gavin Newsom or John Cox—what draws voters to these candidates?
blog post The Top Two and Turnout in California’s Primary By Mark Baldassare May 30, 2018 California's top-two primary system could mean a one-party gubernatorial race in November, with serious implications for Republican turnout.
Fact Sheet Immigrants and Political Engagement By Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, Alyssa Dykman, Lunna Lopes Mar 28, 2018 Just over half of immigrants in California who become US citizens are considered likely voters, a slightly smaller share than for US-born residents. Nearly half of immigrants say that they are paying more attention to politics since President Trump’s election.
Report Assessing California’s Redistricting Commission: Effects on Partisan Fairness and Competitiveness By Eric McGhee Mar 5, 2018 The creation of the Citizen Redistricting Commission (CRC) in 2008 was a radical departure from California’s previous redistricting process, which had been directed by the legislature with little public input and no official rationale. Many hoped that, in addition to meeting legally mandated representational and geographic goals, the CRC would produce electoral maps that were fair to the two major parties and more competitive than the maps that had been drawn by the legislature.
blog post The President’s Popularity and the Midterm Election By Mark Baldassare Jan 18, 2018 How is Donald Trump viewed in California at the end of his first-year anniversary in office? The results matter for the 2018 midterm election.
blog post Partisan Gerrymandering and the Role of Social Science in the Courts By Eric McGhee Oct 23, 2017 The Supreme Court has invited social science to play an unusually significant role in the Wisconsin gerrymandering case.