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Statewide Survey

PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government

By Mark Baldassare

This is the ninth survey in a series of large-scale public opinion polls that will be conducted by PPIC during the 2002 California election cycle. The purpose of the surveys is to develop an objective, in-depth profile of the social, economic, and political forces affecting public policy preferences and elections in California.

Some findings of the current survey:

  • The dynamics in the governor's race have changed dramatically. Richard Riordan still leads in the GOP primary race, but Bill Simon is gaining ground. Among likely voters, Riordan held a 37-point lead over Simon in January (41% to 4%). By mid-February, Riordan's lead had shrunk to 17 points (41% to 24%).
  • In a hypothetical match-up today for the gubernatorial election, Riordan holds a slight edge over Governor Gray Davis among all likely voters (46% to 40%), and Simon and Bill Jones have narrowed the gap between themselves and Davis since January. Davis leads Simon 44% to 40% and he leads Jones 44% to 39%.
  • Independent voters are divided between voting in the GOP primary (23%) and the Democratic primary (27%), while half say they will vote in neither (32%) or haven't made up their minds (18%).
  • On a state ballot measure that would ease the restrictions on term limits (Proposition 45), 59% of likely voters today would vote no.

Statewide Survey

PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government

By Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, Sonja Petek, Jui Shrestha

Some findings of the current survey:

  • A slim majority of likely voters support Governor Brown's proposed tax initiative when read the ballot title and a summary; seven in 10 oppose the "trigger cuts” that public schools would face if the measure fails.
  • Despite positive economic news, an overwhelming majority of likely voters say the state is in a recession.
  • Term limits and cigarette tax initiatives on the June ballot have the support of two in three likely voters; half would vote for the water bond on the November ballot.

Job Approval Ratings:
President Obama [PDF]
Governor Brown [PDF]
California State Legislature [PDF]
U.S. Congress [PDF]

Time Trends of Job Approval Ratings:
President Obama [XLS]
Governor Brown [XLS]
California State Legislature [XLS]
U.S. Congress [XLS]

Mood of Californians:
General Direction of Things in California [PDF]
Economic Outlook for California [PDF]

Time Trends for the Mood of Californians:
General Direction of Things in California [XLS]
Economic Outlook for California [XLS]

This survey was supported with funding from The James Irvine Foundation.

Statewide Survey

PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government

By Mark Baldassare

This is the eighth survey in a series of large-scale public opinion polls that will be conducted by PPIC during the 2002 California election cycle. (Fifteen surveys were conducted during the 1998 and 2000 election cycles). The purpose of the surveys is to develop an objective, in-depth profile of the social, economic, and political forces affecting public policy preferences and elections in California.

Some findings of the current survey:

  • Californians say public schools, the economy, and the electricity situation are the most important issues facing the state today.
  • Two months before the March 5th primary, former Los Angeles mayor Richard Riordan holds a sizable lead over his two opponents for the Republican nomination for governor. Among likely GOP primary voters, 41% are inclined to vote for Riordan, 13% for Secretary of State Bill Jones, and 4% for businessman William Simon. Still undecided: 42% of GOP primary voters.
  • In a hypothetical match-up today for the gubernatorial election, Riordan holds a slight edge over Governor Gray Davis among all likely voters (41% to 37%).
  • On a state ballot measure that would ease the restrictions on term limits (Proposition 45), 31% of voters today would vote yes, 61% would vote no.

Statewide Survey

PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government

By Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, Sonja Petek, Jui Shrestha

Some findings of the current survey:

  • Just over half of likely voters support a proposition to raise the cigarette tax—a big drop since March.
  • Most likely voters say they will vote yes on a proposition to alter term limits in the California Legislature.
  • Half of likely voters say that President Obama’s support of gay marriage does not affect their view of him.

Job Approval Ratings:
President Obama [PDF]
Governor Brown [PDF]
California State Legislature [PDF]
U.S. Congress [PDF]

Time Trends of Job Approval Ratings:
President Obama [XLS]
Governor Brown [XLS]
California State Legislature [XLS]
U.S. Congress [XLS]

Mood of Californians:
General Direction of Things in California [PDF]
Economic Outlook for California [PDF]

Time Trends for the Mood of Californians:
General Direction of Things in California [XLS]
Economic Outlook for California [XLS]

This survey was supported with funding from The James Irvine Foundation.

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