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Private Schooling Played a Small Role in Declining Public School Enrollment

By Emmanuel Prunty, Julien Lafortune

Private schooling in California increased substantially during the pandemic. Still, it accounts for a small share of total K–12 enrollment and is not a major factor in public school declines, which are driven largely by broader demographic shifts.

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Multi-unit Housing Is Becoming More Common, but Has Low Homeownership Rates

By Hans Johnson, Eric McGhee

Since 2010, almost half of new housing units built in California have been in multi-unit buildings, a larger share than in previous years. Compared with single-family homes, residences in multi-unit housing are more likely to be rentals and tend not to draw families.

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Large Cities Lose Population even as They Add New Housing

By Hans Johnson

In a major shift, new housing in California now outpaces population growth. We look at what kinds of housing are being built where—and potential implications for affordability and future population patterns.

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Has California’s Independent Registration Boom Ended?

By Eric McGhee

Since 2018, the overall share of independent—or "No Party Preference"—voters has undergone the sharpest reversal in 60 years of registration data. Independent registration has declined most among younger voters.

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Kindergarten Enrollment Declines Mask Differences by Age

By Julien Lafortune, Emmanuel Prunty

Kindergarten enrollment at California’s public schools fell dramatically in 2020–21. Examining the trends for specific kindergarten ages—as well as the impact of transitional kindergarten (TK)—is key to understanding the broader decline in public school enrollment.

blog post

The Dynamics of Party Registration in the Golden State

By Eric McGhee

A key driver of shifts in party affiliation in California has been new voters. They show a marked preference for No Party Preference and smaller party registration—and a slight preference for Democratic registration—over registering Republican.

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Public School Enrollment Declines Vary across Grade Levels

By Julien Lafortune, Emmanuel Prunty

California’s public school enrollment decreased slightly in 2022–23 and has now fallen for six years in a row. While the latest enrollment levels in grades 2 through 12 were close to projections, enrollment in earlier grades fell short.

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