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Report

California’s Political Geography 2020

By Eric McGhee

California still leans Democratic overall, but independents are leaning Republican in many areas of the state. A closer look suggests that registering all eligible residents to vote could moderate more partisan places. Views on specific issues also follow their own geographic patterns.

Fact Sheet

Millennial Voters and California Politics

By Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, Alyssa Dykman, Rachel Lawler

Millennials are more liberal than older Californians—and more likely to favor immigration, health care reform, and state efforts to address climate change. But only three in ten are likely to vote.

Report

California’s Missing Voters: Who Is Not Voting and Why

By Eric McGhee

Despite an uptick in voter registration and turnout for last year’s election, California’s long-term trends in voter participation are disappointing. Mobilizing key groups—especially Latinos, Asian Americans, and young people—will be crucial to ensure future civic engagement in the state.

blog post

Assessing the Top Two Primary

By Eric McGhee

How is the top two primary faring? There will be 22 same-party races this election cycle, similar to but slightly lower than the 25 in 2014 and 28 in 2012.

Report

Voter Turnout in Primary Elections

By Eric McGhee

California’s new top-two primary system did not produce the increase in voter turnout that many had hoped for in 2012. But it did appear to engage independent voters. Examining primary voting trends over time, this report analyzes voter behavior and the potential impact of electoral reforms in this stage of the election cycle.

This research is supported with funding from the S. D. Bechtel, Jr. Foundation.

Report

Test-driving California’s Election Reforms

By Eric McGhee, Daniel Krimm

In the June 2012 primary, California tested two important electoral changes: new legislative and congressional districts drawn by an independent citizens commission and a "top two" primary system. The results suggest the reforms produced some changes—in particular, more open seats and more competition. However, there was also a great deal of continuity with recent elections: most candidates endorsed by a major party and all incumbents are advancing to the fall election and partisan outcomes were broadly in line with what might have been expected under the old primary system. Over time, the reforms may produce more radical change, but the first step on the road of reform has been a small one.

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