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Preparing for California’s Next Recession

By Patrick Murphy, Jennifer Paluch, Radhika Mehlotra

California is enjoying one of the longest growth periods in history and appears well-prepared to endure a mild economic downturn. But a more severe crisis would exhaust current reserves, decrease school funding, and open a significant budget gap for several years. What steps can the state be taking to prepare for and minimize these outcomes?

Fact Sheet

Arrests in California’s Counties

By Magnus Lofstrom, Justin Goss, Joseph Hayes, Brandon Martin

Arrests vary substantially across the state, with rural counties often seeing higher arrest rates than urban counties. This fact sheet provides a snapshot of overall arrest rates, arrests for different offenses, and racial disparities in California’s diverse counties.

Statewide Survey

PPIC Statewide Survey: Californians and Their Government

By Mark Baldassare, Dean Bonner, Alyssa Dykman, Rachel Lawler

Key findings from the current survey: Two-thirds of Californians—a record high—say housing affordability is a big problem in their region; seven in ten support Governor Newsom’s spending plan to boost housing production. Majorities favor Newsom’s budget proposals to combat wildfires (83%) and expand the state earned income tax credit (73%). Most Californians disapprove of the federal tax overhaul that took effect in 2018 and say they pay more in state and local taxes than they should.

Report

New Insights into California Arrests: Trends, Disparities, and County Differences

By Magnus Lofstrom, Brandon Martin, Justin Goss, Joseph Hayes

Over the past few decades, arrests have declined dramatically—especially for misdemeanors. Though racial disparities have narrowed, the gap between African Americans and whites remains substantial. In 2016, the arrest rate for African Americans was three times the white arrest rate.

Report

The Impact of Proposition 47 on Crime and Recidivism

By Mia Bird, Magnus Lofstrom, Brandon Martin, Steven Raphael

Passed by voters in November 2014, Proposition 47 brought broad and significant changes to California’s criminal justice system. Undertaken in the wake of public safety realignment in 2011, Proposition 47 reduced the penalties for certain lower-level drug and property offenses and represented a further step in prioritizing prison and jail space for higher-level offenders.

Report

Realignment and Recidivism in California

By Mia Bird, Ryken Grattet, Viet Nguyen

California has experienced significant changes in its criminal justice landscape since the 2011 implementation of public safety realignment—which shifted the management of lower-level offenders from the state prison and parole system to county jail and probation systems. The prison population has dropped dramatically, and though jail populations rose, overall incarceration levels have declined.

Report

California Probation in the Era of Reform

By Viet Nguyen, Ryken Grattet, Mia Bird

Recent reforms significantly altered the role of probation in California. In 2011, the state enacted public safety realignment, which shifted the management of lower-level felons from state prison and parole to...

Report

Pretrial Release in California

By Sonya Tafoya, Mia Bird, Ryken Grattet, Viet Nguyen

About 42% of individuals booked on misdemeanors or felonies are released pretrial. For less serious offenses, the most common form of release is cite and release; for more serious offenses, bail is predominant. Our analysis suggests there is room to improve California's pretrial system in a way that could lower incarceration without affecting public safety.

This research was supported with funding from the National Institute of Justice.

Report

California’s Historic Corrections Reforms

By Magnus Lofstrom, Mia Bird, Brandon Martin

California has dramatically lowered incarceration—by about 55,000 inmates since 2006—with no broad increase in crime. But recidivism rates remain high and corrections spending continues to rise.

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