blog post What’s Next for California’s K–12 Enrollment? By Julien Lafortune, Emmanuel Prunty, Vicki Hsieh Dec 9, 2021 The statewide decline in K–12 enrollment is projected to accelerate over the next decade, though with significant variation across counties.
Report Groundwater and Urban Growth in the San Joaquin Valley By Andrew Ayres, Ellen Hanak, Henry McCann, David Mitchell ... Sep 15, 2021 As the San Joaquin Valley addresses groundwater overdraft under the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA), its urban utilities face unique challenges. Learn how to ensure a smooth transition for the region’s residents.
blog post California’s New Baby Bust By Hans Johnson, Eric McGhee Jun 4, 2021 Although birth rates have been falling for years, they reached new lows in 2021. Women in their 20s account for the vast majority of recent declines.
California Counts, Report Birth Rates in California By Hans Johnson Nov 15, 2007 Teen birth rates in California are dropping dramatically, and last year were the lowest the state has ever recorded. In this edition of California Counts, PPIC researchers explore changing birth rates and fertility trends in the state, and find that in some counties, teen birth rates fell more than 25 percent from 2000 to 2005. They also found that over the last two decades, California has experienced an accelerating trend in delayed childbearing--a growing percentage of women are not giving birth until their early forties. Despite this rise in birth rates among older women, rates of childlessness in the state are also increasing. Reference Maps
Report Understanding the Future of Californians’ Fertility: The Role of Immigrants By Laura Hill, Hans Johnson Apr 1, 2002 Current population projections indicate that California could add more than 10 million new residents over the next 20 years. Yet the population projections themselves are the subject of some uncertainty. This report seeks to inform the state's population projections by offering a fine-grained analysis of the state's fertility trends. It focuses on two questions: how much does fertility vary by immigrant generation in California, and what are the relationships between personal characteristics, neighborhood characteristics, and fertility rates among the state's immigrant population and their descendants? The report concludes that immigrant generation is not independently important once personal characteristics are controlled for, but that the predictive value of this factor is still useful for projecting fertility changes. It also suggests that current population projections for California may be too high because they do not consider declines in fertility as immigrants and their descendants adapt to life in this country.
press release California’s Future Population Growth May Be Less Than Expected, Study Finds Aug 27, 2001
California Counts, Report New Trends in Newborns: Fertility Rates and Patterns in California By Laura Hill, Hans Johnson, Mary Heim Aug 1, 2001 Focuses on two determinants of fertility rates in California: race and ethnicity as well as nativity, or mother's place of birth. Predicts that as the daughters and granddaughters of California's immigrants become an increasing share of the women of childbearing ages, the state's fertility rates and population growth will be lower than currently expected.