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Public Safety Realignment and Crime Rates in California

By Steven Raphael, Magnus Lofstrom

Public safety realignment substantially reduced the state’s prison population. Between 2011 and 2012, property crime increased in California as a result of this policy change. Auto theft increased most dramatically, by 14.8 percent—or about 24,000 per year. By contrast, violent crime rates did not appear to be affected.

This research was supported with funding from the Smith Richardson Foundation.

Report

Evaluating the Effects of California’s Corrections Realignment on Public Safety

By Steven Raphael, Magnus Lofstrom, Joan Petersilia

California has launched ambitious plans to change its corrections system. If all goes well, the state will become an important example of how to reduce the prison population and maintain public safety. This report provides guidelines on how to monitor the effects of realignment in such areas as recidivism, sentencing, and costs.

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