More than eight in ten eligible Californians are registered to vote.

• As of February 2025, 22.9 million of California’s 26.9 million eligible adults (85%) were registered to vote.
• Along with voter registration, voter enthusiasm and past voting habits will play a big role in determining who participates in the statewide primary and general election next year.

Likely voters lean Democratic and are ideologically mixed.

• In our surveys over the past year, 47% of likely voters—registered voters who cast ballots frequently and are politically engaged—report that they are Democrats; 27% are Republicans, 24% are independents, and 2% are registered with other parties.
• Among infrequent voters, 43% are Democrats, 19% are Republicans, 36% are independents, and 1% are registered with other parties.
• Ideologically, 38% of likely voters are politically liberal, 34% are moderate, and 28% are conservative. Among infrequent voters, 23% say they are liberal, 56% are moderate, and 21% are conservative.

Independent likely voters are equally likely to lean Democratic or toward neither major party.

• Among independent likely voters, 39% lean toward the Democratic Party, 26% lean toward the Republican Party, and 35% report that they lean toward neither major party or are unsure.
• Among independent infrequent voters, 26% lean Democratic, 15% lean Republican, and 59% lean toward neither party or are unsure.
• Among unregistered adults—including noncitizens—34% lean Democratic, 14% lean Republican, and 52% lean toward neither party or are unsure.

Likely voters are disproportionately white.

• Whites make up only 36% of California’s adult population but comprise 50% of the state’s likely voters. In contrast, Latinos make up 38% of the adult population but just 29% of likely voters. Asian Americans make up 16% of adults and 12% of likely voters, while 5% of adults and 4% of likely voters are African American. Those who identify as multiracial or “other race” make up 5% of the adult population and 4% of likely voters.
• A majority of unregistered adults, including noncitizens, are Latino (61%); fewer are white (15%), Asian American (18%), or African American (4%).

Likely voters tend to be older, more educated and affluent, homeowners, and US born.

• Californians age 55 and older make up 36% of the state’s adult population but constitute about half (49%) of likely voters. Young adults (age 18 to 34) make up 30% of the population but only 21% of likely voters, while adults age 35 to 54 account for 34% of the population and 30% of likely voters.
• Californians who attended college make up over six in ten adults in the state (28% some college, 35% college graduates) but about eight in ten likely voters (38% some college, 45% college graduates). Thirty-six percent of the state’s adult population have no college education, compared to 17% of likely voters.
• Californians earning an annual household income of $100,000 or more account for 57% of all adults but 66% of likely voters. In contrast, Californians earning under $40,000 make up 15% of the adult population but represent 9% of likely voters. Californians who earn between $40,000 and $99,999 (29%) are about proportionally represented among likely voters (25%).
• About seven in ten likely voters are homeowners (73%), while 27% are renters. In contrast, 63% of unregistered adults and 58% of infrequent voters are renters.
• Roughly eight in ten or more likely voters (83%) and infrequent voters (78%) were born in the United` States, compared to just 41% of unregistered adults.
• The share of likely voters in each region mirrors the region’s share of the state’s overall adult population. California adults are most likely to live in Los Angeles County (25%), and the largest shares of infrequent voters (28%) and unregistered adults (27%) live in Los Angeles County.